@Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

Jackiemauro

@Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org

Data scientist | PhD in stats & public policy from CMU | interested in #causalInference #nonparametricStatistics #ML #criminalJustice, trying to get more into and learn more about #climate

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mekkaokereke, to random
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

Again for people (racists), complaining about falling birth rates:

The birth rate for women over 40 is not falling. The birth rate for women over 30 is not falling.

What's happening, is girls 15 to 17 are having fewer babies. Kids are having fewer kids.

Also, this is an interesting way of saying that "Teen pregnancy is down, due to sex education and contraception."

In 1991 25% of 15 year olds gave birth before they turned 21. That's bad. Now it's 6%. That's better.

https://npr.org/2023/01/08/1147737247/teen-pregnancy-rates-have-declined-significantly

Jackiemauro,
@Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

@mekkaokereke you can’t have a birth rate crisis and a border crisis at the same time. Unless you’re racist. So…

GottaLaff, to random
@GottaLaff@mastodon.social avatar

Via Angry Staffer:

…Project 2025 ..

  • would let red states monitor & prosecute women who get abortions

  • won’t commit to defending NATO nations

  • wd fire attys who won’t prosec his political opponents

  • suspend posse comitatus & deploy the military on US soil

  • wd end pandemic preparedness office

  • wd fire 1000s of civil servants

  • pardon all J6 rioters

  • try to make law enf officers immune from prosec

If this doesn’t scare the living shit out of you, you aren’t paying attention.

Jackiemauro,
@Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

@MylesRyden @RebeccaBoyce I just got into the dumbest argument yesterday with people who sincerely believed Biden was worse than Trump on Covid and civil liberties and OOF.

mekkaokereke, to random
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

4 years to the day after George Floyd was murdered, here's where we are:

  • Racist people are just as racist as the day before George Floyd was murdered.

  • Black people are still asking for the exact same things.

  • "Liberal" and "Centrist" white Americans are more racist, and less supportive of DEI than they were the day before George Floyd.

  • Police budgets have grown faster than they did the day before George Floyd.

  • Biden has undone any of the gains made during the protests.

1/N

Jackiemauro,
@Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

@mekkaokereke I feel like we really have a huge weakness when it comes to sustaining any sort of political pressure. We can turn out for the protests, which feel righteous and glorious. But when it comes to the day to day grind of getting people elected, of keeping your issue front of mind…not so good.

Hopefully the subtext of who “we” is here is clear…

I felt this way after the women’s march too. And here we are, without even roe to protect us.

mekkaokereke, (edited ) to random
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

Rapper Meek Mill is wondering out loud if Africans have access to streaming music apps like Spotify, and if so, if they listen to his music.

There aren't enough stories about the Africans working at big tech companies, but there are a lot of us. There are many Ghanaians, South Africans, Kenyans, and Nigerians 🙋🏿‍♂️, working in tech.

I often remind folks that Nigerian 7th grade math curriculum includes binary, octal, hexadecimal, statistics and data, algebra, and geometry.

https://youtu.be/2JTnr9XW-lk?si=D4ch-nw-zDkKNiAe

Jackiemauro,
@Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

@mekkaokereke SIGH I really want to send my kids to public school when they’re bigger but it’s clear that we so desperately don’t want to teach black kids math, that we just withhold it from all public school students.

And getting to college and having to catch up in math is a terrible state to be in.

D_J_Nathanson, to random
@D_J_Nathanson@mastodon.social avatar

It’s !

When cops ask you questions, ask for a lawyer and then STFU:

  • I am not discussing how I’m doing or where I’m going.

  • Am I free to leave?🧵

  • I am not answering any questions.

  • If they ask to search anything: "I do not consent to a search."

  • I want to speak to a lawyer.

Cops are only REQUIRED to give you Miranda warnings if you are “in custody.” “Not free to go” is an oversimplification.

Remember you can always invoke your rights even when you aren’t in custody.🧵

Joey from the TV show Friends banging the kitchen table and yelling, "I WANNA GOOOOOOOOO"

Jackiemauro,
@Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

@D_J_Nathanson what about if a cop comes and say knocks on your door asking if you’ve seen anything? Ok to talk to them or still wait for a lawyer?

RickiTarr, to random
@RickiTarr@beige.party avatar

I wish I could truly make people understand how much of a cult Conservative Fundamentalism is, and how much it truly brainwashes you. It is easy to say, "How can those people be so stupid, how can they not see?", but unless you've been inside it, you cannot understand how much effort is put into making sure that people cannot understand or see.

Jackiemauro,
@Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

@RickiTarr Totally agree. I think I’m deciding that part of being a good ally is playing this difficult role where you have lots of patience and kindness and empathy for people who are acting cruelly. I can be the person who shares what I’ve learned and opens the door to learning together without judgement or recrimination or shame, because I’m not defending my own humanity in those moments. And I think as you say that approach is more effective. Even if it feels so hard sometimes.

RickiTarr, to random
@RickiTarr@beige.party avatar

Money doesn't buy happiness is something rich people say, because they can't figure out why people don't like them.

Jackiemauro,
@Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

@RickiTarr I guess the more accurate saying is “money can’t buy happiness if you’re determined to be miserable”

mekkaokereke, to random
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

If you got upset at me for pointing out that more people died of Covid under Biden than Trump, in large part because Biden rolled back common sense restrictions that were in place under Trump...

Then you'll hate me pointing out that Trump introduced a 25% tariff on Chinese EVs, and Biden is upping that to 100% tariff.

https://insideevs.com/news/719283/chinese-ev-tariffs-biden-quadruple/

We can't allow the US to get off of fossil fuels... unless US billionaires win! 🤡

Fear the BYD Dolphin! (an EV car for $12K)
https://m.youtube.com/shorts/T3nfyO_UHjk

Jackiemauro,
@Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

@mekkaokereke @cshlan I mean just to be fair 1) Trump promises even more tariffs (https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/03/18/politics/donald-trump-tariffs-trade-war) and 2) the IRA does funnel a ton of money towards battery manufacturing and subsidizes the purchase of ev’s.

This is not me trying to say Biden is great, just adding context

RickiTarr, (edited ) to random
@RickiTarr@beige.party avatar

What advice would you give to someone just starting out in a relationship?

Mine might sound kind of dark in relation to the question, but here goes:

People change, and they should, it's part of being a person. Some people are lucky, and they change in the same direction, but some don't, and that's okay too. There's no shame in leaving a relationship or changing the nature of a relationship that no longer serves you. We are all taught that every relationship, whether romantic or friendship, is supposed to last forever, but nothing is forever, and forcing something that no longer works, just ends in anger and bitterness. Knowing when to let go is as important as knowing when to hold on through a rough patch, and how to know either of those things is the most cliché advice of all, COMMUNICATE.

Jackiemauro,
@Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

@RickiTarr what I’ve learned from watching my queer parents:

Conventional relationship rules can be a useful shorthand, but they can also be oppressive and constricting. If your relationship thrives when you live apart or whatever thing conventional wisdom says spells doom: do that thing. There’s no relationship police.

RickiTarr, to random
@RickiTarr@beige.party avatar

Sometimes, I think we need to stop blaming just Capitalism, and get more personal. Lots of countries use a Capitalistic system, but still manage to pay workers fair wages, provide free/inexpensive Healthcare, have paid maternity/paternity leave, longer paid vacation, shorter work weeks, ect. We use the word Capitalism like Christians use The Devil, but it's not some dark mysterious force, it is people who are choosing to treat other people like actual garbage, it is people who are making laws, people who are denying rights. The derision with which we speak the name of Elon Musk or Donald Trump, should be universal for rich fuckers who choose profits over people. They shouldn't get to hide behind, Oh, that's just late stage Capitalism. It's a choice for them, and it's a choice for the lobbyists who promote them, and it's a choice for the politicians who put those laws into action.

Jackiemauro,
@Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

@RickiTarr yea it really gives the humans being immoral such a pass. Like “yea of course the CEO is laying off vulnerable people while raking in record profits and paying themselves record packages. That’s capitalism!

No. That’s a person making a choice within a system that allows that choice.

Also not for nothing that system doesn’t force to you accept these sorts of decisions without question or pushback.

GottaLaff, to random
@GottaLaff@mastodon.social avatar

Was there ever a doubt?

#NikkiHaley is supporting #Trump’s 2024 White House bid, she said Wednesday in her first public remarks since exiting the Republican presidential primary more than two months ago.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/22/politics/nikki-haley-donald-trump?cid=ios_app

Jackiemauro,
@Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

@GottaLaff I actually honestly don’t get what these people find so terrifying about democrats…

DeliaChristina, to random
@DeliaChristina@sfba.social avatar

I swear, having a Black president literally made America go insane.

When I think about how utterly wiiiiild everything is, I think, Hm, what was the catalyst? What was the thing that made half this country go completely bonkers?

Barack Obama.

Jackiemauro,
@Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

@icastico @DeliaChristina yea when Hilary won the primary my husband was like, “no way are they letting a woman run things right after a Black man.”

Hate when the cynic in the relationship is right.

RickiTarr, to random
@RickiTarr@beige.party avatar

deleted_by_author

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  • Jackiemauro,
    @Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

    @RickiTarr menopause is FASCINATING. almost no species exhibit it (no matter how long they live.) it’s like us, orcas, some weird moles or something? People think it’s basically so that older matriarchs could care for their grandchildren without competing with them.

    Doesn’t mean it’s fun. But it is an evolved strategy that points to communal, intergenerational child rearing as a key to our success!

    mekkaokereke, to random
    @mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

    🤡

    From Mother Jones:
    "Dick Harpootlian, the party chairman, said whether Haley listed her race as white or not doesn’t really matter to him, but the issue is that the governor has shown a pattern of such actions.

    'Haley has been appearing on television interviews where she calls herself a minority—when it suits her,' Harpootlian said. 'When she registers to vote she says she is white. She has developed a pattern of saying whatever is beneficial to her at the moment.'
    "

    https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2011/07/indian-nikki-haley-says-she-is-white/

    Jackiemauro,
    @Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

    @jynersolives @mekkaokereke 1000%

    What is the deal with tipping? Oh, racism.

    Why when I cross this one street is everything suddenly decrepit? Oh…I know.

    And on and on

    Jackiemauro, to random
    @Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

    I want a network of like “non lethal” streets. No one gets to move at a mass x velocity combo that would cause lethal injury. You wanna drive an SUV, ok sure. Max speed 2mph.

    RickiTarr, to random
    @RickiTarr@beige.party avatar

    How much alone time vs socializing do you need?

    For me there are a few people who are usually equalizing, and I can just be around them, so I won't count that. But generally, I find about 3 times a week, I'm game for socializing. A day in between to rest is usually nice, but the larger the gathering or if we go somewhere particularly noisy or I'm meeting new people that involves more effort, and my social battery empties sooner. I'm very curious where everyone else falls on this!

    Jackiemauro,
    @Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

    @RickiTarr this has really changed since I had kids. Before I would say I was about where you are, but now since I am essentially never alone, I would prefer to be around other adults basically always.

    tess, to random
    @tess@mastodon.social avatar

    I think consistently referring to counter-protestors as "zionists" is probably misleading; I suspect that while there may be many genuine zionists doing violence to pro-Palestine protestors, there are also probably a bunch of fascists mixed in there who are very much not "zionists" in the traditional sense (other than perhaps that Israel's continued existence provides a potential avenue to ethnically cleanse the US of Jews).

    Using that broad brush actually plays into the fascists' agenda.

    Jackiemauro,
    @Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

    @tess I’m going with Bibi-boys

    RickiTarr, to random
    @RickiTarr@beige.party avatar

    I'm going to ramble a bit, but it will hopefully come around to something. When I was growing up, I read a lot of older historical book series, a big one would be the Little House On The Prairie series. While I really enjoyed it, there are some very obviously negative portrayals of Native Americans and African Americans. I remember being angry about it as a kid, and my Dad telling me, that part of learning about history is that we have to acknowledge the people we were, and still are. But because Little House on the Prairie is only semi-autobiographical, I still have mixed feelings about this. I do think they are well written books by a female author, an interesting perspective on early American life, and as an adult I can see and acknowledge the issues with the text. If we try to get rid of every author with racist ideas there wouldn't be much left to read from the 20th Century, and it also feels like being dishonest about who we are. So, I'm very mixed, how do you all feel about it? Do you think children can handle books with racial issues like this if it's explained to them? What is our responsibility here?

    Jackiemauro,
    @Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

    @RickiTarr my kids aren’t white and I really don’t think I’m gonna put books like this anywhere near them until they’re much older and hopefully have had time to internalize just how frickin awesome they are.

    I don’t know how I feel about their white compatriots reading these books with proper context

    grimalkina, to random
    @grimalkina@mastodon.social avatar

    "Randomized trials cannot address all causal questions of importance in medicine and health policy and may have limited generalizability; thus, investigators may need to use observational studies as a source of evidence to address causal questions. The challenge, then, is to balance the importance of addressing the causal questions for which observational studies are needed with caution regarding the reliance on strong assumptions to support causal conclusions."

    A challenge of our time truly

    Jackiemauro,
    @Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

    @grimalkina also just to vent: I hate that if you say you want to do observational causal inference people just go: “oh, economics?”

    NO.

    RickiTarr, to random
    @RickiTarr@beige.party avatar

    Alright, lots of heavy discussions today, so let's talk about something silly!

    What is a movie that always makes you laugh?

    Personal pick:

    Anything Mel Brooks, but Robin Hood: Men in Tights, it's just funny every time I watch it.

    Jackiemauro,
    @Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

    @RickiTarr

    Bridesmaids
    Blazing saddles
    Old Mae West movies

    I’m realizing I don’t watch that many comedies these days. Though I just went to see Babes and I loved it

    hrefna, to random
    @hrefna@hachyderm.io avatar

    If you think that Biden isn't harm reduction from Trump, I don't even know what to say.

    I don't like the man, and I have more reasons to dislike him than most, he wasn't even in my top 5 in the last election.

    But the difference between him and Trump is night and day

    "It's just cryptofascism" no, no it isn't, but even to the degree it were, the amount of damage that Trump can do is orders of magnitude higher and claiming these are identical is accelerationist at best and genocidal at worst

    Jackiemauro,
    @Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

    @hrefna (adding on with more ideas, definitely not negating those ones!)

    Volunteer for a candidate you really believe in!

    Go to city council meetings!

    Support local independent journalism!

    Run for office!

    StillIRise1963, to random
    @StillIRise1963@mastodon.world avatar

    Don’t say shit about caring about trans people, gay people, Black people, brown people, immigrants or your own damn self if you don’t VOTE for Biden. And, you can kiss my ass too.

    Jackiemauro,
    @Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

    @StillIRise1963 also climate oh my god climate. Things aren’t looking good but holy shit the suffering that will happen if we follow the GOP’s path on climate…

    mekkaokereke, (edited ) to random
    @mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

    Again, "Trump is worse!" Then blocked🤷🏿‍♂️

    https://mastodon.stevesworld.co/@steter/112402055418029413

    Gotta respect the doubling down! Replying to me posting some dude saying "Trump is worse!" then blocking me, with saying "Trump is worse!" then blocking me too! The commitment to the bit is impressive!

    Listen, you can get as mad as you want. You can call Black folk criticizing Biden "Bitching" if you want. We're still going to do it.

    The CDC under Biden dropped the Covid isolation period from "5 days" to "vibes days." Not Trump.

    Jackiemauro,
    @Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

    @mekkaokereke boy we heard a lot less about “vaccine hesitancy” when it turned out white people were the ones refusing.

    StillIRise1963, to random
    @StillIRise1963@mastodon.world avatar

    Nothing worse than stupid with words.🙄

    Jackiemauro,
    @Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

    @StillIRise1963 except maybe their consequences

    rchusid, to random
    @rchusid@med-mastodon.com avatar

    Why do so many Democrats think that, as important as abortion rights are, it is ok to support Democratic warmongers who literally are responsible for killing women and children in other countries because of abortion?

    Jackiemauro,
    @Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

    @rchusid Trump has the Supreme Court basically declaring himself a king. He refused to leave once, why wouldn’t he be better at it a second time?

    He wants to dismantle all environmental regulations. The climate doom we enter without aggressive action in the next 5 years is horrifying, much less what will happen if we move backwards.

    He wants a national abortion ban. More pregnant people dying and being disabled. Think they’ll honor the filibuster to avoid that? I wouldn’t bet my life on it.

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