Met Office predicting that 1.5°c may be exceeded in 2024:
. "we expect two new global temperature record-breaking years in succession, and, for the first time, we are forecasting a reasonable chance of a year temporarily exceeding 1.5 °C” .
⚠️🌧️ #MetOffice have issued a Yellow Warning for Rain, 6am-6pm Wednesday, for parts of #Conwy and #Gwynedd. The heaviest rain is forecast for Wednesday morning. 15-30mm widely, 40-60mm locally. 30mm may fall in less than 3 hours. #NorthWales
Hello from the #garden! #Breezy day, partly cloudy with a lot of sun. Nowhere near as #windy as forecast. I reckon gusting F6, #MetOffice thought thundery, gale force winds (F8). (So far, at least.)
So if you thought that yesterday's record was alarming enough, well you can now add another 0.3C to it, to now +1.6C (2.9F) over the previous UK January record. #Achfary recorded 19.9C (67.8F).
Not good at all, but also unsurprising now.
But we also know that all the usual self-appointed 'experts' will still be out saying 20C in January is 'totally normal'.
Or maybe it was a fleet of jets hovering over the Stevenson screen again.
"June was UK’s hottest on record, says Met Office - Average temperature of 15.8C almost a full degree higher than previous highs for the month -
The Met Office has confirmed June was the hottest on record for the UK, eclipsing the last hottest by nearly a full degree.
Across the month, the country recorded an average mean temperature of 15.8C, beating the previous record of 14.9C, recorded in 1940 and 1976.
England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland also reported their respective warmest Junes on record.
The record comes amid increasing anxiety over the pace and scale of climate change. Surface air temperatures worldwide exceeded the 1.5C Paris agreement threshold in June for the first time, and stayed there for several days, according to the EU’s Copernicus Climate Change.
In the north Atlantic ocean, sea surface temperatures have been about 0.5C higher than the previous warmest daily surface temperatures recorded in June. Warming water temperatures have led to mass deaths of fish in inland waterways.
Mark Owen, the Angling Trust’s head of fisheries, said the hot weather had already killed thousands of fish across the country.
Owen said: “Where I was this morning on a canal near Birmingham, fish were caught up against a lock and you saw hundreds of seagulls picking up the dead fish. The stench was really quite amazing.
“If July is like June, if August is like June, then we will get far more fish kills than we’ve ever seen. There is a knock-on effect. The fish are the visible bit because that’s what people see floating on the surface but it is also [about] what is happening to the ecosystem.”
In one case in West Yorkshire, people fishing have reported a stream of dead fish moving past."
I've added in the Met Office to my tweet, so maybe I can get another clean version of this chart (like I did in February I think it was), but for now at least, this raw version of September 2023's ongoing mean temperature I ripped from this week's 'Deep Dive', shows just how abnormal the heat of the first ten days was.
Up to the 11th, it sits north of 18C.
The record for the whole month is 15.2C from 2006. The 1991-2020 average is 12.9C.
Persistent and heavy rain forecast for #NorthWales on Friday. Of particular note, #Snowdonia may see 100mm fall. This poses a risk of localised flooding.
🌧️ #MetOffice have issued a Yellow Warning for Rain covering most of North Wales, all day Fri until 6am Sat.
🌊 #NaturalResourcesWales have issued Yellow Warnings for risk of Flooding across entire region, Fri and Sat.
It’s remarkable how the Met Office predicted the extreme weather from Storm Ciarán so far in advance. Before the low pressure system it developed from was anything special.
I highly recommend subscribing to the Met Office YouTube channel and watching their weekly Deep Dive and 10-Day Trend videos. I watch every video they put out 😊
My favourite weather show is The Met Office Deep Dive. This week’s episode is available. And includes a segment on why the Northern Lights are so prevalent recently. I haven’t got to that segment yet.
It’s going to be a tad windy Saturday over Ireland and Great Britain. Especially on western coasts. Storm Kathleen has been named by the Irish Meteorological Service.
Arse. Amber wind warning for Northern Ireland and parts of northern GB from Sunday at 18:00 to 09:00 on Monday morning. Yellow warnings also in place outside of the Amber region.
The Met Office weekly deep dive weather programme is out. Includes what to expect as we enter the first week of summer, and also debunks some headlines about the summer that have been wrongly attributed to the Met Office.
The weather for the UK and Ireland looks shit for the next week.
Cold until Saturday.
Windy as fluck on Sunday and into Monday.
Calm on Tuesday.
Then normal Atlantic winter weather from Wednesday. Westerly winds and Atlantic lows rolling in.
The Met Office deep dive weather analysis and forecast. My favourite weather show each week. None of the heavy rain (or tornado activity!) mentioned for Ireland at the start of this made it to the Eastern side of Ireland were I am.
The latest UK Met Office weather deep dive video is out. It has a remarkable map showing how wet it was in England during February compared to the average.
I found the issue. The Met Office integration is broken. I was trying to post the temperature and the entity is unavailable. Does anyone know how to contact the #metoffice to report this?
2024-02-14 14:31:56.003 ERROR (MainThread) [homeassistant.setup] Setup failed for 'metoffice': Dependency is disabled - Integration library not compatible with Python 3.12