realTuckFrumper, to random
@realTuckFrumper@mastodon.social avatar
HistoPol,
@HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

@realTuckFrumper

#Gaza #GeoPol #WarInGaza #Netanyahu #InternationalRelations

(1/n)

Via #CounterPunch

[...Martin Luther] King demonstrated that 👉you can’t advance democracy at home when you suppress it abroad. That vision rings as true today for Gaza as it did for Vietnam in 1967.👈

#Israeli Prime Minister #BenjaminNetanyahu has consistently opposed a two-state solution for Israel and #Palestine, blocking a path to self-determination for the #Palestinian...

https://mastodon.social/@realTuckFrumper/112483145816546926

HistoPol,
@HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar
HistoPol,
@HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

@realTuckFrumper

#Gaza #GeoPol #WarInGaza #Netanyahu #InternationalRelations

(3/n)

...both critics and right-wing allies indicate that 👉the support was intended to help maintain divisions between the #PalestinianAuthority and #Hamas👈, weakening #Palestinian leadership and 👉bolstering the claim that #Israel had no viable negotiating partner for a two-state settlement.👈 The policy was premised on the flawed assumption that 👉#Hamas had neither the capacity nor the intent to launch a...

SarahEx, to random German
@SarahEx@dresden.network avatar

Momentan weiß ich gar nicht mehr wie ich hier filtern soll um nicht wegen der ganzen schlechte Nachrichten in den Tröts wieder ins Loch zu fallen.
Gleichzeitig ist mir bewusst, dass ich grad einfach nur Glück hab und privilegiert bin.
Das macht wieder ein schlechtes Gewissen/ Gefühl und das hilft auch nicht.

HistoPol,
@HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

@SarahEx

Bei mir ist auch deshalb alles mit versehen.
und willst du dann z.B. wohl wegfiltern (damit beschäftige ich much wohl jedoch am meisten).

Etwas tut uns allen gut.--Wieviel, bestimmt jeder selbst. Gut, wenn du es vorher merkst.--Keine Nachricht , ausser einer Katastrophenwatnung für deinen Standort ist es wert, das du dafür in eine Depression fällst.
Dir geht's gut? Super! Berichte ruhig darüber, denn viele haben Probleme und wollen Positives.

bmi, to random German
@bmi@social.bund.de avatar

Ministerin Nancy Faeser zum #Cyberangriff einer vom russischen Geheimdienst gesteuerten Gruppe auf die SPD-Parteizentrale sowie Rüstungs-, IT- und Luftfahrtunternehmen:

"Derartige Angriffe bedrohen Demokratie, nationale Sicherheit und unsere freiheitliche Gesellschaft. Wir fordern Russland erneut auf, derartige Handlungen zu unterlassen. Wir sind entschlossen, gemeinsam mit unseren europäischen und internationalen Partnern solchen Cyberangriffen entgegenzutreten."

👉 https://www.bmi.bund.de/SharedDocs/kurzmeldungen/DE/2024/05/schutzmassnahmen-cyberangriffe.html

HistoPol,
@HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

@bmi

#GeoPol #Russland #HybriderKrieg

(3/3)

..
Je schneller die #NATO endlich auch gegenüber der eigenen Bevölkerung zugibt, dass sie sich längst im #KriegMitRussland befindet, umso effektiver kann dieser Krieg noch gewonnen werden.

//

EU_Commission, to random
@EU_Commission@social.network.europa.eu avatar

💙 20 years.
💙 10 countries.
💙 1 enlargement.

On 1 May 2004, the citizens of 🇨🇾 🇨🇿 🇪🇪 🇭🇺 🇱🇻 🇱🇹 🇲🇹 🇵🇱 🇸🇰 🇸🇮 became citizens of the EU.

Since then, we have witnessed growth and prosperity. Real wages have doubled from 2004 to 2023 in these ten countries, while poverty levels have halved.

Our Union has benefitted from more innovations. The free movement of goods, services, capital and people, have brought greater opportunities for people and businesses.

HistoPol,
@HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

@collectifission

enlargement

As with , , and other places, not the country or even its peoples are the problem but the often illegally elected regimes or their actions contrary to international law and in violation of human rights.

That said, I do hope that the "leaders" of the aforementioned countries, including 's, will be ousted sooner rather than later.

@EU_Commission

gratefuldread, to random
@gratefuldread@gratefuldread.masto.host avatar

deleted_by_author

  • Loading...
  • HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @gratefuldread

    With all due respect, asking the wrong questions rarely leads to the right answers, let alone solutions that work.

    And if assumptions are incorrect, an analysis is incomplete or even faulty, the deductions and conclusions can never be correct, even if they sound reasonable

    https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/112268702494050375

    https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/112268807194230537

    dominiksteiger, to Israel German
    @dominiksteiger@swiss.social avatar

    Quite an astounding efficacy of air defense, if these numbers are correct. Especially the missiles.

    HistoPol, (edited )
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @gimulnautti

    (1/2)

    I agree.
    I'd go even further re/ "de-escalation," though:

    The needs a face-saving "victory" against the aggressor, at least for it's populace.
    Telling the world and rubbing it in that "you accomplished nothing" will only anger the Mullah Regime further, as well as a big part of the people, against and the West ("Death to America!")
    IDF and Netanyahu Regime: tone it down, better STFU!

    ...

    @dominiksteiger

    raymondpert, to iran
    @raymondpert@mastodon.cloud avatar

    Snap Insight: Iran-Israel conflict will get worse before it gets better

    > For years, and have engaged in tit-for-tat strikes against each other. Their conflict increasingly looks like a slow-motion war with no obvious off-ramp, says Pusan National University’s Robert Kelly.
    https://www.channelnewsasia.com/commentary/iran-first-direct-attack-israel-drones-missile-hamas-war-snap-insight-4264356

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    (1/2)

    Excellent analysis. 💯 %.

    Via Prof. , Pusan National University (South Korea)

    "Snap Insight: Iran-Israel conflict will get worse before it gets better

    For years, Iran and Israel have engaged in tit-for-tat strikes against each other. Their conflict increasingly looks like a slow-motion war with no obvious off-ramp...

    👉The United States has generally been...

    https://mastodon.cloud/@raymondpert/112270423127634138

    Cc @raymondpert

    raymondpert, to iran
    @raymondpert@mastodon.cloud avatar

    Iran seizes cargo ship in Strait of Hormuz, Iranian media says

    > Iran's Revolutionary Guards seized an Israeli-linked cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday, the Iranian state-run IRNA news agency reported, days after Tehran warned it could close the area to sea traffic.

    > IRNA reported that a Guards helicopter had boarded and taken into Iranian waters the Portuguese flagged MSC Aries. https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/ukmto-receives-report-incident-50nm-northeast-uaes-fujairah-2024-04-13/

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @raymondpert

    conflict

    (2/2)

    ...taking of seafarers, significant disruptions to commerce and navigation, financial losses to shipowners, increased insurance premiums and security costs, increased costs to consumers and producers, and damage to the marine environment. Pirate attacks can have widespread ramifications, including preventing humanitarian assistance and increasing the costs of future shipments to the affected areas."

    https://www.un.org/depts/los/piracy/piracy.htm

    HistoPol, to worldwithoutus
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    (1/n)

    New perspectives on the conflicts in the by Firas Modad, "...a Middle East analyst for 20 years."

    Via @thehill

    "The foreign policy establishment fails to see that the Middle East balance of power has shifted"

    " leaders in , , and 👉never wanted radicals to wage insurgency against 👈, not out of hatred of the , but out of fear of the consequences.
    The...

    https://thehill.com/opinion/international/4492433-the-foreign-policy-establishment-fails-to-see-that-the-middle-east-balance-of-power-has-shifted/?utm_source=press.coop

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar
    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @thehill

    (6/n)

    ...sanctions. 👈

    The balance of power, which previously forced the states to avoid fighting Israel and antagonizing the U.S., has shifted. 👉Now the balance of power dictates that the prevent from winning and avoid antagonizing and their own publics.👈

    But the balance of power has not shifted enough for leaders to disengage from the U.S.,...

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @thehill

    (8/n)

    ...There will never be peace in , not even if there were a , placating the population, neither the , nor rhe neighboring countries will stop their hostilities until the whole of the state is eradicated from the map.

    If should at last really get his second term as president, the global balance of power will further shift even further towards 's antagonists...

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @thehill

    (5/n)

    ... know would never allow back, is not in the interests of leaders.👈

    Rather, their best bet is to stay on ’s good side rhetorically and commercially, but 👉to quietly improve their ties with Iran and other enemies, and prepare to end their normalization with Israel.👈

    This is 👉why the reconciled with under auspices, and why the is helping both and evade ...

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @thehill

    #MiddleEast #USpol #GeoPol #WarInGaza

    (7/n)

    ...which is why the Saudis still talk to the Americans of normalization.

    //

    COMMMENT:

    I have a lot of reasons to believe that #FirasModad of #ModadGeopolitics
    is right in his assessment.

    Continuing this train of thought, however, this leaves only dire outcomes for the #Israelis and the #Palestinians:
    If no #Muslim country will grant them refuge for political reasons, a lot of the #Gazan #refugees will die on that border wall...

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @thehill

    #MiddleEast #USpol #GeoPol #WarInGaza

    (10/n)

    ...are in a position of probably maximum historic strength.
    So, right now would be the time for both to negotiate.

    Alas, the leaders of the two peoples are arguably the worst combination in decades: their chief (only?) aim is to remain in power.

    So, we have two peoples, and two groups of leaders, whose aims are or should be aligned, but whose, likewise aligned, leaders make a solution impossible.
    A cataclysmic irony of fate.
    //

    Do..

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @thehill

    (3/n)

    ...in which leaders have accepted their weakness in material and military affairs and sought to normalize with a much more powerful, Western-backed .

    By contrast, the , , , the and others chose a more religiously-sound approach. They accepted that the could overwhelm them with high-tech “shock and awe” aerial attacks. 👉They chose to focus instead on delivering...

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @thehill

    (4/n)

    ...decisive blows that show that some key aspect of the enemy’s power, some Goliath, such as the air force, is in fact impotent."👈

    "👉 and its allies, by contrast, regularly show that they can keep fighting and landing decisive blows.👈 They, like the peoples led by ’s allies, 👉are religiously committed to destroying .👈

    As such, 👉helping the Israelis win by taking in refugees, whom the ...

    HistoPol, (edited ) to internet
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    The most important thread of the week.

    Usually, I don't link to the corporatist surveillance sites. Today, I'm going to make an exception due to the gravity of this between and the

    (1/n)

    Via award-winning investigative journalist, .

    Read only, if you are not suffering from .

    "’s campaign manager was a agent...

    https://www.threads.net/@seth.abramson/post/C3s7QeCR9Y-

    HistoPol, to random
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    (2/n)

    #GeoPol #RusPịl #USpol #Z,

    ..."#Manafort) to run his campaign and do in that role whatever it was the #Kremlin was expecting (which, it turned out, was liaisoning with #Russian intelligence via Russian intelligence officer and Manafort partner #Konstantin Kilimnik). n as #Trump was hiring a man he knew was a Kremlin agent (Manafort) to run his campaign and do in that role whatever it was the Kremlin was expecting (which, it turned out, was liaisoning with #Russian intelligence...

    Oeneus, to random
    @Oeneus@assortedflotsam.com avatar

    The Free Palestine movement is white kids looking for clout by posting genocidal derangement about a region they've never been to.

    image/png

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @specked

    (1/2)

    Yes, and that makes things more complicated.
    In the end, if not one of the 2 peoples is rather completely anihilated, an unthinkable outcome, the 1947 solution of the , developed by great thinkers, is IMO the only way to a lasting solution that will not necessarily entail terrorist attacks on a daily basis.

    I am not a big fan of quotes, but 8:7 holds a lot...
    @marcelliotnet @Oeneus

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @specked

    (1/n)

    "...but also on the ground realities at the time, such as the population's presence and the outcome of the - War of 1948."

    I can agree with all the facts that you state here (with the whole post, in fact) as they coincide with my recollection of things I have read and heard in the past. Thank you, too, for the recap.

    However, just like President , I am...

    @wikipedia @marcelliotnet @Oeneus

    Snowshadow, to news
    @Snowshadow@mastodon.social avatar
    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @EU_Commission
    @EU_Commission

    (1/n)

    #GeoPol
    #EU #RedSeaMission

    Why only 7?
    Why so little?
    Why so late?
    ETA of the "flotilla"?

    The global economy and its consumers are still suffering from the highest #inflation in rececent decades, caused by the #Pandemic and the #Russian aggression in #Ukraine.

    Global #SupplyChains are further disrupted by #draught caused by the #CilateCrisis and low water levels in the #PanamaCanal.

    The unwarranted attacks by the #Houthis...

    Cc @Snowshadow

    GottaLaff, to random
    @GottaLaff@mastodon.social avatar
    HistoPol, (edited )
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @itwasntme223 @GottaLaff

    #China #Taiwan #GeoPol

    (1/n)

    I don't see the invasion threat as either vague or far-distant.

    My mental model/scenario is chiefly based on these six points:

    1. Xi's profile

    2. Chinese history and current tendencies

    3. India

    4. Arms deals

    5. Europe

    6. Cyberwarfare

    7. #Xi will never back down from the "#OneChina" policy, though it is no "reunification," as their false narrative goes. It is supposed to be his legacy.

    8. #Chinese #Nationalists are already openly...

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