SarahEx, to random German
@SarahEx@dresden.network avatar

Momentan weiß ich gar nicht mehr wie ich hier filtern soll um nicht wegen der ganzen schlechte Nachrichten in den Tröts wieder ins Loch zu fallen.
Gleichzeitig ist mir bewusst, dass ich grad einfach nur Glück hab und privilegiert bin.
Das macht wieder ein schlechtes Gewissen/ Gefühl und das hilft auch nicht.

HistoPol,
@HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

@SarahEx

Bei mir ist auch deshalb alles mit #hashtags versehen.
#DEpol #USpol und #GeoPol willst du dann z.B. wohl wegfiltern (damit beschäftige ich much wohl jedoch am meisten).

Etwas #SMDetox tut uns allen gut.--Wieviel, bestimmt jeder selbst. Gut, wenn du es vorher merkst.--Keine Nachricht , ausser einer Katastrophenwatnung für deinen Standort ist es wert, das du dafür in eine Depression fällst.
Dir geht's gut? Super! Berichte ruhig darüber, denn viele haben Probleme und wollen Positives.

bmi, to random German
@bmi@social.bund.de avatar

Ministerin Nancy Faeser zum #Cyberangriff einer vom russischen Geheimdienst gesteuerten Gruppe auf die SPD-Parteizentrale sowie Rüstungs-, IT- und Luftfahrtunternehmen:

"Derartige Angriffe bedrohen Demokratie, nationale Sicherheit und unsere freiheitliche Gesellschaft. Wir fordern Russland erneut auf, derartige Handlungen zu unterlassen. Wir sind entschlossen, gemeinsam mit unseren europäischen und internationalen Partnern solchen Cyberangriffen entgegenzutreten."

👉 https://www.bmi.bund.de/SharedDocs/kurzmeldungen/DE/2024/05/schutzmassnahmen-cyberangriffe.html

HistoPol,
@HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

@bmi

(3/3)

..
Je schneller die endlich auch gegenüber der eigenen Bevölkerung zugibt, dass sie sich längst im befindet, umso effektiver kann dieser Krieg noch gewonnen werden.

//

EU_Commission, to random
@EU_Commission@social.network.europa.eu avatar

💙 20 years.
💙 10 countries.
💙 1 enlargement.

On 1 May 2004, the citizens of 🇨🇾 🇨🇿 🇪🇪 🇭🇺 🇱🇻 🇱🇹 🇲🇹 🇵🇱 🇸🇰 🇸🇮 became citizens of the EU.

Since then, we have witnessed growth and prosperity. Real wages have doubled from 2004 to 2023 in these ten countries, while poverty levels have halved.

Our Union has benefitted from more innovations. The free movement of goods, services, capital and people, have brought greater opportunities for people and businesses.

#20YearsTogether

HistoPol,
@HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

@collectifission

#GeoPol #EU enlargement

As with #Russia, #Israel, and other places, not the country or even its peoples are the problem but the often illegally elected regimes or their actions contrary to international law and in violation of human rights.

That said, I do hope that the "leaders" of the aforementioned countries, including #Hungary's, will be ousted sooner rather than later.

@EU_Commission

gratefuldread, to random
@gratefuldread@gratefuldread.masto.host avatar

deleted_by_author

  • Loading...
  • HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @gratefuldread

    #GeoPol #Israel #MiddleEastWar

    With all due respect, asking the wrong questions rarely leads to the right answers, let alone solutions that work.

    And if assumptions are incorrect, an analysis is incomplete or even faulty, the deductions and conclusions can never be correct, even if they sound reasonable

    https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/112268702494050375

    https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/112268807194230537

    raymondpert, to iran
    @raymondpert@mastodon.cloud avatar

    Snap Insight: Iran-Israel conflict will get worse before it gets better

    > For years, #Iran and #Israel have engaged in tit-for-tat strikes against each other. Their conflict increasingly looks like a slow-motion war with no obvious off-ramp, says Pusan National University’s Robert Kelly.
    https://www.channelnewsasia.com/commentary/iran-first-direct-attack-israel-drones-missile-hamas-war-snap-insight-4264356

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    #GeoPol #MiddleEastWar #Israel #Iran

    (1/2)

    Excellent analysis. 💯 %.

    Via Prof. #RobertEKelly, Pusan National University (South Korea)

    "Snap Insight: Iran-Israel conflict will get worse before it gets better

    For years, Iran and Israel have engaged in tit-for-tat strikes against each other. Their conflict increasingly looks like a slow-motion war with no obvious off-ramp...

    👉The United States has generally been...

    https://mastodon.cloud/@raymondpert/112270423127634138

    Cc @raymondpert

    dominiksteiger, to Israel German
    @dominiksteiger@swiss.social avatar

    Quite an astounding efficacy of air defense, if these numbers are correct. Especially the missiles.

    HistoPol, (edited )
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @gimulnautti

    #MiddleEastWar #GeoPol

    (1/2)

    I agree.
    I'd go even further re/ "de-escalation," though:

    The #MullahRegime needs a face-saving "victory" against the aggressor, at least for it's populace.
    Telling the world and rubbing it in that "you accomplished nothing" will only anger the Mullah Regime further, as well as a big part of the #Iranian people, against #Israel and the West ("Death to America!")
    IDF and Netanyahu Regime: tone it down, better STFU!

    ...

    @dominiksteiger

    raymondpert, to iran
    @raymondpert@mastodon.cloud avatar

    Iran seizes cargo ship in Strait of Hormuz, Iranian media says

    > Iran's Revolutionary Guards seized an Israeli-linked cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday, the Iranian state-run IRNA news agency reported, days after Tehran warned it could close the area to sea traffic.

    > IRNA reported that a Guards helicopter had boarded and taken into Iranian waters the Portuguese flagged MSC Aries. https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/ukmto-receives-report-incident-50nm-northeast-uaes-fujairah-2024-04-13/

    HistoPol, (edited )
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @raymondpert

    conflict

    (1/2)

    The Regime engages in state and against vessel in international waters

    Via Reuters*

    "The 1982 Convention on the Law of the Sea ():"

    "Acts of piracy threaten maritime security by endangering, in particular, the welfare of seafarers and the security of navigation and commerce. These criminal acts may result in the loss of life, physical harm or hostage-...

    https://mastodon.cloud/@raymondpert/112263942466863289

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @raymondpert

    #GeoPol #Iran #Israel conflict

    (2/2)

    ...taking of seafarers, significant disruptions to commerce and navigation, financial losses to shipowners, increased insurance premiums and security costs, increased costs to consumers and producers, and damage to the marine environment. Pirate attacks can have widespread ramifications, including preventing humanitarian assistance and increasing the costs of future shipments to the affected areas."

    https://www.un.org/depts/los/piracy/piracy.htm

    GreenFire, to random
    @GreenFire@mstdn.social avatar

    China has canceled millions of tons of agricultural import contracts indicating that they've gotten a better deal from Putin.

    HistoPol, (edited )
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @GreenFire

    #USpol #GeoPol #Security #China

    (2/n)

    ...thinking out-of-the-box. Time for the #US to stop the partisan fighting and catch up.

    These big #LegacyTech #AircraftCarriers from the (previous) #ColdWar period?--I think the #60Minutes report indirectly shows that they could be "sitting ducks" for the #PRC's new rockets...

    Oh, and yes, 2027 seems like a plausible date for a #Chinese invasion of the #RepublicOfChina. If #MoscowAgentGriftingAmerica, #MAGA #Trump remains the...

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @GreenFire

    (3/3)

    ..., they can expect little or at least less opposition from this foreign-controlled / indebted stooge (let's not forget about the deal we already know about!)

    //

    Geri, to random
    @Geri@mastodon.online avatar

    Mark Francois talks about Neville Chamberlain "denuding the British forces of funding until it was too late."

    This is wrong. Even while Chamberlain was signing the Munich Agreement in 1938, he was agreeing to a huge increase in spending to increase Britain’s armament in preparation for war.

    Mark knows fuck'all

    Know your History

    https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/education/resources/chamberlain-and-hitler/

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @Geri

    (1/n)

    Thanks for sharing this, Geri.

    I've several thoughts re/ this:

    1. ,
      I find it deeply troubling that a politicians who used to be Minister of State for Defence Personnel, Welfare and Veterans and then Minister of State for the doesn't know these essential fact.

    2. What he has been (wrongly) saying about deluding the -WWII is, in contrast, very true...

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @Geri

    (2/n)

    ...about the under () and leadership for decades until 2022.

    1. My high-school history teacher was right: of totalitarian leaders never works. They only understand strength.

    2. Today's general situation in is very much similar to the one in 1939: instead of an -born , , we have a one, ...

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @Geri

    (3/n)

    ...Appeasing with looking away of what he did in and when letting him get away with parts of and the peninsula is what and other leaders were doing with the in the 1930's. Up to the invasion oh 2014, it was the of :

    "In September 1938 he [] turned his attention to the three million ...

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @Geri

    (4/n)

    ...living in part of called the . began protests and provoked violence from the police.
    👉 claimed that 300 Sudeten Germans had been killed. This was not actually the case, but Hitler used it as an excuse to place German troops along the Czech border."👈

    Welcome to 's repetitive playbook!--Always the same old, same old for decades.

    The next "...

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @Geri

    (6/n)

    ...with the to defend them if [] invaded [them]. 👉 did not think would go to war over Poland, having failed to do so over .👈 He sent his soldiers into Poland in September 1939. Two days later, Britain declared war on Germany."

    And there is a sixth lesson to be learned: an unjust peace, even if only viewed by a large majority of one of the former combatants, will not...

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @Geri

    (7/n)

    ...will not hold, but lay the foundation for the next war: which left millions of suddenly on foreign soil with a foreign sovereign and unpaiable reparations (as deemed by Sir ) made it rather easy for the to gain followers and spread their propaganda.

    "The [] government believed that and 👉...

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @Geri

    (8/8)

    had genuine grievances,👈 but that if these could be met (‘appeased’) Hitler would be satisfied and become less demanding."

    https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/education/resources/chamberlain-and-hitler/

    I stand with what I said earlier today:

    https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/112088055790270012

    Or, to quote from 's 2024 speech:

    !

    //

    volkris, to random

    The big problem with the State of the Union speech was that instead of speaking to the whole country about the whole country, it focused on speaking to his own choir about himself and his reelection.

    That’s why people are criticizing it as a campaign speech.

    If you’re a Biden supporter, realize that the speech did not invite non-supporters, including independents, to join in his efforts. It appealed only to those already on board, which is not productive in terms of actually getting those efforts done.

    In other words, if you’re in favor of what Biden was calling for, you too should be critical that this won’t help get those things done.

    The speech seemed focused on helping nobody… except Joe Biden’s personal reelection.

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @volkris

    in the

    Good policy.
    I have been doing the same, though I save space, using , , , , , and so on.

    Free_Press, to news
    @Free_Press@mstdn.social avatar

    Today's Putin Speech...

    Putin said Russia is ready for dialogue with the US on the issue of strategic stability.

    About the weapons of the “second army”
    🔥Russia's strategic nuclear forces are in a state of full readiness,
    🔥The sea-based strike hypersonic complex “Zircon” has already been used in battle, this system is already in service, and the “Sarmat” complex has been delivered to the troops
    🔥work on new weapons in Russia continues, they will soon hear about them.
    #AureFreePress #News

    video/mp4

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    #GeoPol #Russia #Strategy #WarInUkraine

    Via @Free_Press:

    "Putin said Russia is ready for dialogue with the #US on the issue of strategic stability."*

    As with diplomats, what #Putin says, can never be taken at face value, quite the contrary.

    Yesterday, I wrote an op-ed about this, combining the different aspects to be considered in a synopsis:

    https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/112011782300873087

    It's written in German 4 the most part, but the fedi apps' translating function works rather well.

    https://mstdn.social/

    HistoPol, to worldwithoutus
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    #USpol #GeoPol #WarInGaza

    (1/n)

    New perspectives on the conflicts in the #MiddleEast by Firas Modad, "...a Middle East analyst for 20 years."

    Via @thehill

    "The foreign policy establishment fails to see that the Middle East balance of power has shifted"

    "#Arab leaders in #Syria, #Egypt, #Jordan and #Lebanon 👉never wanted #Palestinian radicals to wage insurgency against #Israel👈, not out of hatred of the #Palestinians, but out of fear of the consequences.
    The...

    https://thehill.com/opinion/international/4492433-the-foreign-policy-establishment-fails-to-see-that-the-middle-east-balance-of-power-has-shifted/?utm_source=press.coop

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @thehill

    (5/n)

    ... know would never allow back, is not in the interests of leaders.👈

    Rather, their best bet is to stay on ’s good side rhetorically and commercially, but 👉to quietly improve their ties with Iran and other enemies, and prepare to end their normalization with Israel.👈

    This is 👉why the reconciled with under auspices, and why the is helping both and evade ...

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @thehill

    (6/n)

    ...sanctions. 👈

    The balance of power, which previously forced the states to avoid fighting Israel and antagonizing the U.S., has shifted. 👉Now the balance of power dictates that the prevent from winning and avoid antagonizing and their own publics.👈

    But the balance of power has not shifted enough for leaders to disengage from the U.S.,...

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @thehill

    #MiddleEast #USpol #GeoPol #WarInGaza

    (7/n)

    ...which is why the Saudis still talk to the Americans of normalization.

    //

    COMMMENT:

    I have a lot of reasons to believe that #FirasModad of #ModadGeopolitics
    is right in his assessment.

    Continuing this train of thought, however, this leaves only dire outcomes for the #Israelis and the #Palestinians:
    If no #Muslim country will grant them refuge for political reasons, a lot of the #Gazan #refugees will die on that border wall...

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @thehill

    #MiddleEast #USpol #GeoPol #WarInGaza

    (8/n)

    ...There will never be peace in #Palestine, not even if there were a #TwoStateSolution, placating the #Palastinian population, neither the #Sunni, nor rhe #Shia neighboring countries will stop their hostilities until the whole of the #Israeli state is eradicated from the map.

    If #Trump should at last really get his second term as president, the global balance of power will further shift even further towards #America's antagonists...

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar

    @thehill

    (10/n)

    ...are in a position of probably maximum historic strength.
    So, right now would be the time for both to negotiate.

    Alas, the leaders of the two peoples are arguably the worst combination in decades: their chief (only?) aim is to remain in power.

    So, we have two peoples, and two groups of leaders, whose aims are or should be aligned, but whose, likewise aligned, leaders make a solution impossible.
    A cataclysmic irony of fate.
    //

    Do..

    HistoPol,
    @HistoPol@mastodon.social avatar
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