"Seven deaths were reported in Cooke County, Texas, near the Oklahoma border, where a tornado Saturday night plowed through a rural area near a mobile home park, officials said. Storms also caused damage in Oklahoma, where guests at an outdoor wedding were injured. Tens of thousands of residents were without power across the region." #SevereWx#TXwx#OKwx#ARwx
#Sebastian, #Arkansas: National Weather Service: #TORNADO WARNING in this area until 9:15 PM CDT. Take shelter now in a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Check media. Source: NWS Tulsa OK
From Dr Reed Timmer: The Storm Prediction Center has added a 15% risk for severe weather next Saturday across East Texas into portions of Louisiana and Arkansas ahead of a mega trough ejection. We will be activating live storm chase mode for this event. Never stop chasing.
#Conway, #Johnson, #Pope, #Van Buren, #Arkansas: National Weather Service: #TORNADO WARNING in this area until 8:15 PM CDT. Take shelter now in a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Check media. Source: NWS Little Rock AR
From Dr Reed Timmer on YouTube: Live storm chasing returns Monday afternoon and overnight with #Tornado potential returning to Dixie alley. I would not be surprised if this is upgraded to an enhanced risk.
A couple of photos from this afternoon and evening of snow in our neighborhood.
We ended up with between 2.5 and 3 inches (6-7 cm) of very dry snow in our subdivision in Bella Vista, AR. There is a slight chance for additional minor snow accumulation overnight as temps hold steady around 0F/-18C with wind chills between -5 and -12F.
Today there is a high (level 5/5) risk for all modes of severe weather across the south central plains, including the potential for several cyclic supercells and long-track tornadoes.
One thing I miss about the #WxTwitter community is that there were handful of stats folks who could relay the last time we had a high risk day. Relying entirely on my memory, but it seems like it's been at least a year or two.
The latest Day 1 forecast from the Storm Prediction Center has expanded the moderate risk east into SE Kansas and NE Oklahoma, approaching the Missouri and Arkansas state lines. This reflects the increased risk for strong, damaging winds as storms move east overnight.
This doesn't change my plans other than I'll either stay awake or set an alarm to go off around the ETA for the storm complex.