Reports of substantial damage across Northwest Arkansas, mostly to the south of us. Very likely a combination of tornadoes (at least one confirmed) and straight line winds, however the storm maintained a strong circulation over most of Benton County, so would not be surprised if tornado count goes up.
"Seven deaths were reported in Cooke County, Texas, near the Oklahoma border, where a tornado Saturday night plowed through a rural area near a mobile home park, officials said. Storms also caused damage in Oklahoma, where guests at an outdoor wedding were injured. Tens of thousands of residents were without power across the region." #SevereWx#TXwx#OKwx#ARwx
#Benton, #Arkansas: National Weather Service: #TORNADO WARNING in this area until 2:15 AM CDT. Take shelter now in a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Check media. Source: NWS Tulsa OK
#Conway, #Johnson, #Pope, #Van Buren, #Arkansas: National Weather Service: #TORNADO WARNING in this area until 8:15 PM CDT. Take shelter now in a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Check media. Source: NWS Little Rock AR
Today there is a high (level 5/5) risk for all modes of severe weather across the south central plains, including the potential for several cyclic supercells and long-track tornadoes.
One thing I miss about the #WxTwitter community is that there were handful of stats folks who could relay the last time we had a high risk day. Relying entirely on my memory, but it seems like it's been at least a year or two.
I guess it is worth noting that we aren't entirely out of the woods locally. It's easy to zero in on the bullseye for the threat area, but we do have a 10% risk for tornadoes locally in NW Arkansas, greatest risk after midnight as the storm system moves through.
From a climatological standpoint, most of the strongest storm systems in NWA are nocturnal, having formed during afternoon heating on the plains and spreading east through the evening and overnight. Usually brief QLCS tornadoes. #arwx
The latest Day 1 forecast from the Storm Prediction Center has expanded the moderate risk east into SE Kansas and NE Oklahoma, approaching the Missouri and Arkansas state lines. This reflects the increased risk for strong, damaging winds as storms move east overnight.
This doesn't change my plans other than I'll either stay awake or set an alarm to go off around the ETA for the storm complex.
#Sebastian, #Arkansas: National Weather Service: #TORNADO WARNING in this area until 9:15 PM CDT. Take shelter now in a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Check media. Source: NWS Tulsa OK
Severe Weather from NWS SPC on widespread, severe thunderstorms today and tuesday. Risk for very large (2+ inch) hail, tornadoes (including a few strong tornadoes) and damaging thunderstorm winds. #wx#SevereWeather#TXwx#KSwx#ARwx#MOwx#ILwx#INwx
A couple of photos from this afternoon and evening of snow in our neighborhood.
We ended up with between 2.5 and 3 inches (6-7 cm) of very dry snow in our subdivision in Bella Vista, AR. There is a slight chance for additional minor snow accumulation overnight as temps hold steady around 0F/-18C with wind chills between -5 and -12F.
From Dr Reed Timmer: The Storm Prediction Center has added a 15% risk for severe weather next Saturday across East Texas into portions of Louisiana and Arkansas ahead of a mega trough ejection. We will be activating live storm chase mode for this event. Never stop chasing.
From Dr Reed Timmer on YouTube: Live storm chasing returns Monday afternoon and overnight with #Tornado potential returning to Dixie alley. I would not be surprised if this is upgraded to an enhanced risk.