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Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

Trump's rant today from Trump Tower included a rant against immigrants - those from South America, Africa, Asia, and the Middle East.

Immigration and border security is all he has right now. Oh, and racism. He is leaning into that one.

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

I have nothing interesting going on. But I am almost done with my fifth load of laundry.

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

Nate Silver is back today arguing for Biden to step down in August.

And a huge shit show over a Simon Rosenberg interview. All kinds of pollsters jumping into the fray.

All of it just seems so disingenuous. The chaos if Biden stepped down in August. And Nate Silver would love it.

He is just so gross.

billyjoebowers,
@billyjoebowers@mastodon.online avatar

@Hey_Beth

Nate Silver working so hard to kill his reputation just makes me wonder about the blackmail is on Nate Silver.

Probably the same as the rest of them.

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

Lucy Caldwell, a Never Trumper, has repeatedly warned about donating to campaigns that are unwinnable. She points to Marcus Flowers, the Democrat who challenged MTG. He collected a ton of $$ and was never going to win.

She recently encouraged people to start donating to campaigns now. She said it helps with staffing and building out the campaign as they don't need to guess about what $$ is coming later this summer.

Here are 11 Democratic congressional candidates that can win.

https://secure.actblue.com/donate/hopiumwinsthehouse

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

"We can't let him pull off this fraud as being a strong man as opposed to a weak man." - Simon Rosenberg

This comment is in a segment about brand architecture.

"We cannot obey advance. We cannot allow their attempt to spook us into believing that they're going to win this election. There is nothing that we can do."

Trump must appear strong, and many others need this election to be a horserace.

https://www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/id-much-rather-be-us-than-them-my?initial_medium=video

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

For your consideration: 11 congressional candidates

Simon Rosenberg has identified these 11 races to flip.

Andrei Cherny, AZ-01

Kirsten Engel, AZ-06

Adam Gray, CA-13

Rudy Salas, CA-22

George Whitesides, CA-27

Will Rollins, CA-41

Sue Altman, NJ-07

Laura Gillen, NY-04

Mondaire Jones, NY-17

Josh Riley, NY-19

New to the list: Janelle Bynum, OR-5

Rosenberg has set up an ActBlue donation page that will divide any donation evenly between these 11 campaigns. The goal is $250K, and it has already surpassed $85K.

https://secure.actblue.com/donate/hopiumwinsthehouse

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

Election results:

As soon as I find some...

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

Lara Trump: He called Biden's bluff.

No way Trump is showing up.

nemesio,
@nemesio@masto.bhsnw.com avatar

@Hey_Beth It’s always a good time when we watch the Trump family and their sycophants panic and throw everything at the wall to find the narrative they need after Trump himself gets them into a mess of his own making.

Hey_Beth,
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

@nemesio

Yes, and this is a mess of his own making.

Ingraham was trying to make the best of it saying that he'll be fine. Hannity lost it. He clearly thinks Trump accepting the offer was the wrong thing to do.

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

There is no way that Trump is going to step foot on the debate stage. Sean Hannity lost his mind tonight.

Ingraham was saying that Trump could handle Biden. Trump just needs to remain calm and let Biden ramble. I think Hannity understands that unless Biden completely screws up, one of their last remaining narratives is gone.

Trump also needs chaos to prevent any discussion about policy.

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

And now Laura Ingraham is providing her insight into the debate schedule:

All Donald Trump needs to do is stay calm. Stay calm through the entire debate, and let...

Stop right there, Laura. 😂 😂 😂

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

😂😂😂

According to Nate Silver, the Biden WH may have moved up the Senate to June so if Biden screws up, he can step down and pull the Ezra Klein emergency plan of nominating someone else.

mastodonmigration,
@mastodonmigration@mastodon.online avatar

@Hey_Beth

🤦‍♂️

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

Nate Silver is now NYTing.

"The White House pulled off a great bluff. But they hold a bad hand, and today's debate gambit reveals it."

Why Biden's winning strategy is bad for Biden.

darren,
@darren@c.im avatar

@Hey_Beth Nate Silver is still a thing?

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

Nate Silver needs to fuck off.

billyjoebowers,
@billyjoebowers@mastodon.online avatar

@Hey_Beth

Nate Silver has lost his fucking mind. He's close to doing a podcast with Scott Adams.

billyjoebowers,
@billyjoebowers@mastodon.online avatar

@Hey_Beth

I know there's lots of theories and reasons, but honestly, when I see people start publicly freaking out about bad news for Trump and Republicans I just think "Nate Silver has pedophile blackmail material too?"

Hey_Beth, to HashtagGames
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar
Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

And things have started...

In WV: No surprise that Trump and Biden immediately were the projected winners.

In Wyoming County, Haley is only pulling 4.9%. What is with Wyomings?

MD: Too early to call. But I'm going to go out on a limb and say Trump and Biden. 😂

NE: Haley is already pulling over 25% with 17% of the vote counted.

Hey_Beth,
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

@Lizette603_23

They seem to be very different in WV. 😂

Hey_Beth,
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

WV: Over 90% of the votes are in, and Haley has just 9.5%.

In the 2020 GOP primary, Joe Walsh and Bill Weld have 1.81% and 1.77%, respectively.

Right now, Trump has 88.3%, and in 2020, he had 94.39%.

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