Architeuthis

Architeuthis, 3 months ago

Something like a weekly general topic thread would work great for this I think.

Architeuthis, 3 months ago (edited 3 months ago)

Greece has no groups focused on improving fish welfare however, Charity Entrepreneurship is possibly starting a charity focused on advocating for fish welfare improvements Greece.

EAs advocating for fish welfare is about the only thing yet to be seen in this country, awesome.

If you want to influence Greece just use some of the fabled EA obsquatumatillions to buy out the left part of our two party system, they’re currently in such shambles they’d barely notice, and it’s not like they could do much worse with shrimp rights as a flagship issue.

Architeuthis, 3 months ago

birdsite stuff:

A rationalist organization offered a James Randi-style $100k prize to anyone who could defeat them in a structured longform debate and prove COVID had a natural origin, so a rando Slate Star Codex commenter took them up on it and absolutely destroyed them. You won’t believe what happened next (they wrote a pissy blogpost claiming the handpicked judges had “errors in … probabilistic inference” for not agreeing with their conclusion and grew even more confident in their incorrect opinion)

https://awful.systems/pictrs/image/a4b199b1-0eb4-442a-8460-235d444842dc.png

https://awful.systems/pictrs/image/382e2a7f-e6d2-4d14-8418-4ca1ddfae926.png

Architeuthis, 3 months ago

Judge 1 says they, just, uh, decided some past disease outbreaks were lab leaks and never looked to see if that’s actually scientifically debated or just weird Rat Accepted Truths.

Yes but see, an anthrax environment containment breach almost five decades ago at a sprawling soviet weapons facility with biosecurity protocols that consisted of a wink and a handshake totally strengthens our claim that in 2019 some chinese intern accidentally shot up a gm bat virus and wandered off. Bayesian inference is unintuitive like that, you plebs wouldn’t understand.

Architeuthis, 3 months ago

Looking through the reddit thread, the whole ‘Peter Miller has great recall’ thing feels off, like it’s less an excuse for shoddy preparation and more a genuine grievance that he kept his superior memory genes skills purposefully hidden so they couldn’t sent someone who had rolled equal or better brain stats to the debate.

This is in response to PM himself showing up in the thread to say rootclaim actually had his presentation 24 days in advance because the debate was delayed once:

This is true. I think the point is more that, even having seen all your own and your opponents information, a debater with greater recall / working memory can potentially “win” even if their argument is weaker.

Like, of course they lost, mere facts are nothing when the opponent has the IQ advantage, this is how the AI demons get us.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

Sticking numbers next to things and calling it a day is basically the whole idea behind bayesian rationalism.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

To the extent EA/rats perpetuate cult behavior, it’s probably safe to say that neither EY nor any other high status individuals within the space are wanting for sex.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

in a world of greater legibility, romantic partners would have the conversation about “I’d trade up if I found somebody 10%/25%/125% better than you” in advance, and make sure they have common knowledge of the numbers

To be clear, that world is inceldom and they already have a term for exactly that sort of thing.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

Absolutely, you can’t keep pandering to the so called anti-woke and not end up with a lot of incel-adjacent people in your spaces, and the eugenics undercurrent feeds directly into manosphere perceptions about optimizing dating and tying your self worth to your splachnocranium/neurocranium ratio.

More specifically Scott Alexander has pandered pretty aggressively to the Dogged Good Guy demographic, and is also on the hook for being all about the ‘merits’ of neoreaction, and people like Moldbug and Emil Kirkegaard are semi-regulars in his comment sections.

Also worth noting that before the infamous EY editorial in TIME that called for airstrikes against foreign datacenters to prevent clippy from going rogue, the previous time they covered ea/rat was to report that they appear to have a serious sexual exploitation problem.

On a more speculative note, some staples of the movement like effective polyamory may have come about directly from early rationalist inability to get any on the regular. Apparently if you go reddit spelunking it appears they also went through a phase of trying to brainwash each other optimize into bisexuality to stave off sexual frustration.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

Last behind the bastards episode is this article expanded. Robert Evans is always very listenable and the more detailed CES reporting is interesting, but if you are a member here you probably won’t be adding anything new to your TREACLES lore.

I wish journalists referencing the basilisk would go a in a bit more in depth, it’s so much dumber than than it seems at a brief glance. Like, a lot of people immediately assume the alleged scary part is that we might already be living in the simulation and thus be eligible for permanent residence in basilisk Hell should we commit the cardinal sin of shit-talking AI, but no; the reason you can go to AI hell is because of transhumanist cope.

As in, if your last hope for immortality is brain uploads, you are kinda cornered into believing your sense of self gets shared between the physical and the digital instance, otherwise what’s the point? EY appears to be in this boat, he’s claimed something like there’s no real difference between instances of You existing in different moments in time sharing a self and you sharing a self with a perfect digital copy, so yeah, it’s obviously possible, unavoidable even.

As to how the basilisk will get your digital copy in the first place, eh, it’ll just extrapolate it perfectly from whatever impression’s left of you in the timeline by the time it comes into being, because as we all now, the S in ASI stands for Fucking Magical, Does Whatever It Wants. Remember, ASI can conjure up the entirety of modern physics just by seeing three frames of an apple falling, according to Yud.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

From the comments:

I am someone who takes great interest in scientific findings outside his own area of expertise.

I find it rather disheartening to discover that most of it is rather bunk, and

image

ChatGPT, write me up an example of a terminal case of engineers disease and post it to acx to see if they’ll catch on to it.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

Don’t know about the actual literature, but confusing heritability to mean ‘concrete chance to inherit’ instead of “broad measure of influence of unspecified genetic factors on a population wrt developing a condition, once environmental influences are modeled out according to our paper’s methodology” is extremely common in the wild even by people who should know better.

Siskind seems ticked off because recent papers on the genetics of schizophrenia are increasingly pointing out that at current miniscule levels of prevalence, even with the commonly accepted 80% heritability, actually developing the disorder is all but impossible unless at least some of the environmental factors are also in play, which is very worrisome since it indicates that even high heritability issues might be solvable without immediately employing eugenics.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

Emil Kirkegaard of all fucking people shows up in the comments to call him out on misunderstanding variance.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

I didn’t mean to sound too derisive, heritability is an actually useful metric as far as I can tell, it’s just not as intuitive or monosemantic as a lot people will make it out to be, especially in the absence of significant correlating DNA evidence.

Siskind strawmans this into the alleged opposition desperately claiming that “it’s not genetic unless there’s a specific gene you can point to”, aka the bitches dont know bout my poly/omnigenic traits argument.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

It’s both, probably. Sounds like the Alice and Bob of compsci security parable fame, except pretentious, and Mallory is the writer.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

Galton Ehrlich Buck

The concentrated smarm in this bullshit JAQ off piece gave me psychic damage.

Fun to see him using the “IQ is mostly genetic [because heredity]” line, which is exactly what the schizophrenia literature he takes issue with claims is a woefully inadequate descriptor if we’re going to usefully evaluate what is actually happening.

The way they always try to motte and bailey eugenics gives me the shits. No, eugenics isn’t screening embryos for terrible incurable conditions, it’s the whole deal of gatekeeping society according to arbitrary geneological norms, and the fact that they keep trying to rehabilitate the term instead of rebranding to something less awful, is certainly food for thought.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

This is fascinating.

I was hoping someone more knowledgeable on the subject might have chimed in to provide some context by now, like are bioelectric circuits legit or is this sheldrake all over again, and why can’t I find anything on the very interesting phenomenon of deer antlers maintaining acquired deformities between fall off and growth cycles, and apparently trophic memory is an hapax legomenon to your linked article according to google.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

I really like how he specifies he only does it when with white people, just to dispel any doubt this happens in the context of discussing Lovecraft’s cat.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

Had to google shit-test, apparently it’s a PUA term, what a surprise.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago (edited 4 months ago)

It’s used for actual payments because it’s shamelessly crime friendly even by crypto standards, not because it has better block size handling.

This is why it’s being increasingly blacklisted by exchanges facing regulatory pressure, which I would assume is why it’s supposedly not speculated on that much.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

Past 1M words

That’s gonna be 4.000 pages of extremely dubious porn and rationalist navel gazing, if anyone’s keeping count.

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

tvtropes

The reason Keltham wants to have two dozen wives and 144 children, is that he knows Civilization doesn’t think someone with his psychological profile is worth much to them, and he wants to prove otherwise. What makes having that many children a particularly forceful argument is that he knows Civilization won’t subsidize him to have children, as they would if they thought his neurotype was worth replicating. By succeeding far beyond anyone’s wildest expectations in spite of that, he’d be proving they were not just mistaken about how valuable selfishness is, but so mistaken that they need to drastically reevaluate what they thought they knew about the world, because obviously several things were wrong if it led them to such a terrible prediction.

huh

Architeuthis, 4 months ago

If books could kill is so much fun.