blog, to ai
@blog@shkspr.mobi avatar

Tech Predictions for 2024
https://shkspr.mobi/blog/2023/12/tech-predictions-for-2024/

Only fools try to predict the future. You can read my predictions for 2023, or dig deep into my archives and rate me on how foolish I am.

So here are my five predictions for 2024

AI Genocide

It is obvious that Large Language Models are based on stolen material. I suspect that a lawsuit will determine that at least one of the major players has to delete all copies of their AI.

They will refuse and claim that AGI / Sentience has been reached with their model (it hasn't) and that destroying it would be akin to genocide (it won't be). We'll probably see a stunt where OpenAI ask ChatGPT to take the stand and try to get it to argue for its life.

Like a shitty episode of Star Trek TNG.

Twitter Collapses

Elon Musk's run for President after Trump is disqualified (yes, I know) means he has less time to deal with Twitter. A renegade band of Twitter engineers quietly builds in ActivityPub support in the hope of salvaging the remains of the userbase. Some Mastodon admins pre-emptively ban the whole server, but most of us are happy to see our old friends again.

BSky tries valiantly with its weird not-quite-crypto protocol, but the momentum will be behind ActivityPub. There will either be an official bridge, or most server will use an unofficial one. Some Mastodon admins pre-emptively ban the whole server, but most of us are happy to see our old friends again.

5G and Gigabit continue not to matter

The Internet is now fast enough. There is nothing meaningful you can do with a gigabit connection at home that can't be done with a 500Mbps connection. Similarly, the max speeds for 5G are irrelevant when you're streaming TV or on a video-call.

But coverage matters. Under pressure from Starlink and OneWeb, the UK begins to build out a proper broadband network. The UK's new Labour government imposes a Universal Service Obligation on fibre providers - or some other trickery - to force them to build out rather than competing over the same set of over-saturated customers.

The same is broadly true of mobile. After the Three/Vodafone merger and the O2/Virgin merger, there will be a greater emphasis on diversifying their mobile networks rather than paying for multiple transceivers to cover an identical area. The coverage may be only 4G - but most people won't care as long as it's good enough for TikTok.

Streaming Goes Back In Time

Yes, Project Kangaroo is back! The streaming giants will coalesce around a "Spotify" sort of model. There's only 24 hours in the day, so there's a limit to the amount of content a person can watch. The people who want to watch endless re-runs of cheap filler like Friends will subsidise those who only watch the latest blockbusters.

Perhaps there will be a "Pay £X to watch this specific show in 4K" or "Stream this series a week early for £Y" but - I hope - studios will realise they're interchangeable to the viewing public.

This open access will also give a creative outlet to weird indie auteurs who can grab a tiny slice of the long tail without selling their souls.

USB-C Cures Cancer

With Apple (reluctantly) embracing USB-C, we'll see even more medical and quasi-medical gadgets being released which can plug into a phone. I don't think we'll see a full-on Tricoder, but plenty of diagnostic tools, ultrasound wands, and urine-analysis devices.

Someone like Theranos (only less fraudulent) will release a crappy plastic gizmo which takes a sample of your saliva and which uses the power of your phone to check for 17 different diseases - including a specific type of cancer.

Maybe the false negative rate will terrible. Probably it will send doctors crazy. There will absolutely be lawsuits abound. But everyone will know someone who's brother's girlfriend's mum used it to save her life.

And for the rest?

The world will get worse. Maybe the politician you like will get elected, but so will a bunch of bastards. Any gains in peace will be offset by other twunt somewhere starting a war to bolster their ego. Any gains we make in cleaning the climate will be undone when some influencer is paid to tell people to fire their guns at communistic solar panels. A butterfly will flap its wings in Tokyo and hurricane will displace a million people. The next pandemic has already started, but no one will want to wear nipple-shields and we'll all die.

Come back in 2025 to see how I did!

https://shkspr.mobi/blog/2023/12/tech-predictions-for-2024/

#future #nearFuture #predictions

nixCraft, to random
@nixCraft@mastodon.social avatar

Language I dislike: C++
Language I begrudgingly respect: Go
Language I think is overrated: javascript
Language I think is underrated: Zig
Language I like: Python
Language I love: Perl
Language I dream of writing in: Dart

kkarhan,

@fuchsiii @nixCraft @landley I mean if I wasn't strapped for space I'd not even bother, as #syslinux just works.

And Syslinux-Distros like #Ventoy make creating #USB-#Multiboot drives easier than getting one of the #IODD cases at reasonable price and installing a 2,5" SSD into it...

Snowshadow, to ArtificialIntelligence
@Snowshadow@mastodon.social avatar

W H Y ?? !! 🤷

#Computer #USB #ARRRGH

voltagex, to random
@voltagex@aus.social avatar
dos, to linuxphones

So turns out I'm going to be speaking at #FOSDEM in February as part of the "FOSS on Mobile Devices" track. We'll go step-by-step through debugging a spontaneous modem reset issue that used to trouble the #Librem5 phone, which - spoiler alert - turned out to be a (not very well-)known bug in the #USB 2.0 spec. Check this and other talks out at https://fosdem.org/2024/schedule/track/foss-on-mobile-devices #fosdem24 #fosdem2024 #linuxmobile

nono2357, to linux French
rasterweb, to random
@rasterweb@mastodon.social avatar

I forgot about this one! Back in 2019 a software company wanted something special for the release of a new version of their software, so I built this USB device for them.

➡️ https://rasterweb.net/raster/2019/10/17/software-release-button/

#USB #USBHID #maker

scootercogs, to hardware

I have to say I have never met a SATA to USB connector that worked.

I have purchased at least 4 of them with not one of them being able to format a drive.

I wonder why!? Bad luck I suppose...

#hardware #analog #sata #usb

Edent, to linux
@Edent@mastodon.social avatar

🆕 blog! “Gadget Review: FIFINE Ampligame A8 USB-C Gaming Microphone”
★★★★⯪

The good folks at Fifine have sent me this neat little microphone to review. Unboxing Sound Quality Writing about microphones is like painting about flavour. So here's what it sounds like: No noticeable hiss. Captured my voice perfectly. It picked up a little clack from my k…

👀 Read more: https://shkspr.mobi/blog/2023/12/gadget-review-fifine-ampligame-a8-usb-c-gaming-microphone/

#gadget #linux #review #usb-c

linuxiac, to linux
@linuxiac@mastodon.social avatar
gnuplusmatt, to windows
@gnuplusmatt@fosstodon.org avatar

there really is no good solution for writing out a install on

mikemathia, to random
@mikemathia@ioc.exchange avatar
BelfastRoadster, to medicalcannabis
@BelfastRoadster@birds.town avatar

Yet another discarded “ #disposable#vape in the park this morning.
This was a chunky one with a nice big 2,410mAh #rechargeable #lithium #battery in it.
Ironically it had a #USB-C charging port but no easy way to refill the fluid so still a bit of a #waste of #resources 🤷‍♂️

#NorthernIreland #recycling

jmessager, to random French
@jmessager@framapiaf.org avatar

Question technique un peu con, si quelqu'un sait si potentiellement ça craint. Vu que l' "C" est symétrique en forme, si je branche ce câble entre mon chargeur allume-cigare et la prise USB de l'autoradio, ça va faire de la fumée ?

cryptoparty, to random German
@cryptoparty@bonn.social avatar
kkarhan,

@cryptoparty ja, das liegt mal wieder daran wie die #Microsoft-#API|s sind.

Da nur abgefragt wird ob korrekter Userin sich anmeldet und nicht der Scanner durch das Betriebssystem.direkt ausgelesen wird, ist dies umso trivialer, weil einfach nur ne Ja/Nein-Abfrage stattfindet.

Hinzu kommt dass #USB keinerlei Sicherheitsmaßnahmen hat und sowohl Vendor-/Product-ID als auch Seriennummer trivial kopierbar sind (siehe #BadUSB-Gadgets)....

olimex, to esp32
@olimex@mastodon.social avatar
YurkshireLad, to microsoft
@YurkshireLad@mastodon.social avatar

The #usb cart of death? Now that's the kind of testing I like! #microsoft #windows

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=6_hm3NzLeO8

gfarrell, to languagelearning
@gfarrell@mastodon.world avatar
itnewsbot, to security

USB worm unleashed by Russian state hackers spreads worldwide - Enlarge (credit: Getty Images)

A group of Russian-state hacker... - https://arstechnica.com/?p=1985993

puniko, to random Dutch

ETP - Eep Transfer Protocol

kkarhan,

@puniko I only know about the "Airgapped Transfer Protocol" because #UUCP is old amd ancient and not really good at all and doesn't work or gets implemented on modern hardware...

Whereas #ATP aims at transfering files using only cameras and screens...

It won't replace like a #USB or #Ethernet cable but can replace a #serial console...

https://github.com/KBtechnologies/ATP

#AirgappedTransferProtocol

ct_Magazin, to hacking German

Raspberry Pi als Hacking-Gadget | c’t uplink

Hacking-Gadgets für Pentesting & Co. könnte man kaufen – oder gleich selber bauen auf Basis eines Raspberry Pi. Darüber sprechen wir im c’t uplink.

https://www.heise.de/news/Raspberry-Pi-als-Hacking-Gadget-c-t-uplink-9532621.html?wt_mc=sm.red.ho.mastodon.mastodon.md_beitraege.md_beitraege

#USB #ctuplink #Hacking #Linux #RaspberryPi #WPS #news

hl, to random
@hl@social.lol avatar

TMI, but does anyone else get loads of fluff in their USB-C hole? I have to regularly clean out the one on my #phone otherwise the cable doesn't sit right and keeps falling out.

#usb

ct_Magazin, to hacking German

heise+ | Wifi-Hacking: Sicherheitslücken im WLAN mit einem Raspi aufspüren

Drahtlose Netzwerke sind ein begehrtes Angriffsziel. Mit einem Raspi, WLAN-USB-Adapter und Airgeddon spüren Sie in der Rolle des Hackers Sicherheitslücken auf.

https://www.heise.de/ratgeber/Wifi-Hacking-Sicherheitsluecken-im-WLAN-mit-einem-Raspi-aufspueren-9496685.html?wt_mc=sm.red.ho.mastodon.mastodon.md_beitraege.md_beitraege

rasterweb, to music
@rasterweb@mastodon.social avatar
gorplop, to random
@gorplop@pleroma.m68k.church avatar

I'm trying to play with SH4 CPUs in a few set-top boxes I have. This is difficult as the whole STLinux FTP server is long gone.
If you, or anyone you know has these files:

STLinux-2.2-sh4.iso
STLinux-2.3-sh4-03-11-07.iso
STLinux-2.2-source.iso

or any other STLinux ISO files, please ping me! I want to document this strange CPU and the tools used to put linux on it.

Please retoot for a wider reach!

kkarhan,

@gorplop @f4grx they all seem to have #Ethernet and #USB so at least one could abuse them as some #telnet if not #SSH terminal...

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