Saying "LLMs will eventually do every job" is a bit like:
Seeing Wifi wireless data
Then predicting "Wireless" Power saws (no electrical cord or battery) are just around the corner
It's a misapplication of the tech. You need to understand how #LLMs work and extrapolate that capability. It's all text people. Summarizing, collating, template matching. All fair game. But stray outside of that box and things get much harder.
@scottjenson Saying "we will once be able to fly from New York to Paris" is like seeing the contraption that the Wright brothers have just designed and extrapolating a jet engine.
@scottjenson Tbf they’re pretty crap inside that area too. There is nothing I would trust from any of them. They may provide some general ideas worth looking into, and strategies to do a thing, but absolutely none of the details are trustworthy. Precisely because as someone asking questions, you can’t spot the wrong made up bullshit from the accurate made up bullshit; the summary that captures the core discoveries vs the summary that missed them.
@mattwilcox Oh, I agree. But there will be domains where it's transformative, e.g. programming. This has completely transformed how I code. I'm still driving, but DAMN is it handy.
I expect it'll transform online help significantly (I hope for the better!) It will likely transform Law in many ways. I don't expect it'll replace lawyers, just allow them to review and output boilerplate much faster.
It's the Gartner hype cycle all over again. People are freaking out and it'll pull back.
@scottjenson Tbh I’m not convinced on any of those either. Again; because it’s a bias machine to expose the average. It’s useless at anything else. It won’t give you modern css. It won’t look at your own code base to avoid duplication. If you’re less than average skill it may give you beneficial things; maybe. There are no “smarts” at all, just stats. In the medical field it’s diagnosed scans of plastic toys as having cancer. I wouldn’t want a dr to be leaning on this stuff.
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