patrickhadfield, There was a Tory MP on the (radio) news saying it was too early to write the Tories off. He used a football analogy - that you wouldn't call the result of a football match when there was still thirty minutes left on the clock.
He's clearly never been at a football match and seen the home team fans streaming out of the park thirty minutes before time - when they're 10-0 down, including three own goals...