cstross, I am going to stick my neck out and suggest that a smaller-than-Russian-scale attack using the same drones against a much smaller target—Israel—with front-rank defenses is not going to succeed terribly well. Also going to suggest waiting for the other shoe, er, 2000lb bomb, to drop in Tehran a few hours later.
https://mastodon.ie/@EugeneMcParland/112265885020428897