rahmstorf, German Big data study in the Lancet looking at global excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021. Very few countries like New Zealand managed to prevent excess deaths. Some more did quite well (e.g. China, Germany, Australia).
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(24)00476-8/fulltext
