The discourse in the last few days regarding #Meta and #Threads gives the impression that the entire Fediverse is already blocking Threads. I wanted to take a look at the numbers and they speak a different language. The data source for my calculation is https://fedipact.veganism.social/?v=2.
Measured by user count, 76 % of all users are federated with Threads. Remaining instances with 24 % of users either block Threads or are limited (e.g. infosec.exchange).
@mialikescoffee that just means a few very large instances are federating with threads and a large number of smaller instances are defederating or limited.
In other words, it’s a representation of the real world where a large majority of people just follow trends set by people of influence and are content with just belonging, and many different minority groups are trying to loosely hang together to form a defense against their complete eradication by the enormous majority’s inertia.
@CynAq This is how it looks like, when you aggregate by instance count instead of user count.
So 58,99 % of the instances are federating with #Threads at the moment.
@kkarhan that’s right. It appears that there is a vocal minority opposed to threads while the vast majority at least want the option to interact with it. @mialikescoffee
@mialikescoffee very useful data, thanks. Polls consistently show more users want to block or limit than federate ... they might not be representative, but if they are there's a significant mismatch between what admins are currently doing and what people want them to do.
Any chance you could rerun it with active users? It'd probably be similar -- most active users are on larger instances who generally aren't blocking -- but it'd still be interesting.
@thenexusofprivacy Perhaps I will do another evaluation, as circumstances will also change.
Unfortunately, I don't know at the moment whether and how active users can be measured.
The fedipact.veganism.social list of 2k instances used in https://social.tchncs.de/@mialikescoffee/111607872804167774 probably has most of the instances which block, but many of the ~8k instances it doesn't list are probably not blocking.
Looking at 6-months active users is probably more interesting though.
@73ms@folkerschamel
I think the difference is that he used one additional data source.
And the data is always just a snapshot anyway and can change over time.
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