gcvsa,
@gcvsa@mstdn.plus avatar

Restrictive #zoning practices are part of the problem, but they are not by any means the primary cause of the #HousingCrisis.

Zoning alone doesn't explain why more #development and #redevelopment isn't happening in places where zoning already permits it.

These are the places that are in high demand—city and town centers that already have #multiunit, #multistory, #MixedUse #MissingMiddle buildings.

The other shoes are #tax #policy and economic outlook.

#urbanism #LVT #LandValueTax #USpol

gcvsa,
@gcvsa@mstdn.plus avatar

The Planning Commission in my town has made great strides in opening the downtown business core district to more "by right" land uses, but that doesn't do jack shit to actually make it economically possible for people to build or rebuild.

We have vacant plots immediately adjacent to the most valuable properties in town that have been vacant for decades, and millions in public funds are paid out in bribes to banks, developers, and landowners each time to get anything at all in production.

gcvsa,
@gcvsa@mstdn.plus avatar

No one builds unless they are bribed to build, precisely because it is more profitable to not build.

Every new unit that isn't constructed causes the value of all existing units to rise in proportion to the competitive demand.

That's the real problem.

And #LandValueTax solves this.

This is counterintuitive to most people, but housing prices are not rising because developers build "luxury" units, but because they don't build them.

#Gentrification is not a real thing.

enobacon,
@enobacon@urbanists.social avatar

@gcvsa how is the profit per new unit less than the marginal extra profit of overpriced rent on existing units? Even assuming that the developer owns every existing unit, would doubling their number of renters be a net loss?

gcvsa,
@gcvsa@mstdn.plus avatar

@enobacon It's not at all clear that doubling the number of units would result in doubling the number of renters, for one thing.

Each unit of supply added to the market reduces the potential value of all existing units, and adding supply costs a lot more than not adding supply.

In addition, homeowners are in on the game. Fewer units means higher house prices, bigger retirement nest eggs.

enobacon,
@enobacon@urbanists.social avatar

@gcvsa homeowners can only realize those gains by moving out though, so most aren't actually getting that imagined wealth. The cost of adding supply is spread over years of building life, so it only seems profitable if all potential builders own significant existing housing, and still profit limited by the smaller number of renters.

gcvsa,
@gcvsa@mstdn.plus avatar

@enobacon In the end, the ultimate proof in the pudding is that we have a housing crisis. If it were more profitable to build than to not build, we wouldn't be in this situation.

The market abhors a vacuum. If there's a way to make a profit, someone, somewhere will exploit it.

enobacon,
@enobacon@urbanists.social avatar

@gcvsa not everyone has the financial leverage to undertake that level of development, no collective financing options for community built housing. The few big players might be coming out ahead by sitting on vacant land, but other models with fewer middlemen might be viable, if other owners can get in. The market isn't free if there's captured government and finance involved.

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