ByrdNick, How should numeric probabilities be translated into words? Maybe they shouldn't be.
"Words of estimative probability" wreak havoc in high-stakes communication like #intelligenceCommunity assessments and briefings, in part because intelligence and defense institutions map numbers to different words (!) — see Amelia Kahn's forthcoming work at ameliakahn.wordpress.com.
#defense #nationalSecurity #decisionScience #psychology #epistemology #xPhi #cogSci #SciComm #Communication #PhilSci